Steel market gold nine has gone silver ten can be expected-Zhongrui Metal Material

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Steel market gold nine has gone silver ten can be expected

Release time:

2017-10-26

Since the beginning of this year, the domestic steel market has been in a volatile upward trend, and at the same time, there has also been an anti-traditional market trend, making this year's steel market "not weak in the off-season and not prosperous in the peak season". At present, the golden nine is nearing the end, silver ten is about to debut, how will the steel market be interpreted, and what will be the downstream demand?

1. The real estate industry continues to cool down

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to August, in addition to the flat growth rate of real estate development investment and a slight increase in the growth rate of land transaction prices, most indicators such as newly started area, land purchase area, commercial housing sales area and sales, and funds in place by real estate enterprises continued to decline. The national property market transactions continue to cool, the growth rate continues to decline, the first and second tier areas have entered the autumn. Especially in September, Chongqing, Nanning, Changsha, Nanchang, Guiyang and other places to increase the regulation of the property market, purchase restrictions, sales restrictions once again strengthened. Local property market regulation is still continuing to "patch", blocking the possibility of real estate speculation in all directions, and the speculative function of real estate will continue to weaken. At present, in addition to the use of short-term restrictive measures, strict restrictions on housing speculation, strengthen the results of regulation. It can be predicted that the real estate industry will continue to cool in the future.

2. Infrastructure investment is still expected.

Since the beginning of this year, the national infrastructure investment has maintained a relatively high growth. From January to August, infrastructure investment was 8474.8 billion billion yuan, an increase of 19.8 percent, 1.1 percentage points lower than that from January to July and 0.1 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year; it accounted for 21.5 percent of the total investment, 2.2 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year; its contribution rate to the growth of total investment was 49.5 percent, driving the growth of investment by 3.9 percentage points. From January to August, the fixed asset investment in highways and waterways was 1402.4 billion yuan, an increase of 22.0 percent over the same period last year, and 77.9 percent of the investment target of 1.8 trillion yuan for the whole year. From January to August, the national railway fixed asset investment was 453.671 billion yuan, an increase of 4.7 percent over the same period last year. The planned investment target for this year is 800 billion yuan. From January to August, the scale of funds for water conservancy construction nationwide reached 693.1 billion billion yuan, which continued to remain at a relatively high level. It is planned that the scale of investment this year will exceed 900 billion. Before the end of the year, infrastructure investment to complete this year's investment target, will continue to increase investment. Among them, 397.8 billion yuan is still not invested in highway and waterway investment, 346.3 billion yuan is still not invested in railway investment, and 206.9 billion yuan is still not invested in water conservancy investment.

3. Low growth in the automotive industry

According to statistics from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, from January to August 2017, the year-on-year growth rate of automobile production and sales continued to remain in the range of 4%-5%. Among them: the growth rate of passenger car production and sales is about 2%-3%, which is still in a low-speed growth state; commercial vehicles maintain about 15%-17%, maintaining a rapid growth momentum. From January to August, 346000 new energy vehicles were produced and 320000 were sold, up 33.5 percent and 30.2 percent year-on-year, of which the production and sales of pure electric vehicles were 284000 and 260000, up 45.4 percent and 43.5 percent, respectively. It is expected that the auto market will maintain a low growth rate in 2017, with annual sales of 29.4 million vehicles, up 5% year on year.

4. The machinery industry is booming

Since 2017, thanks to the increase in infrastructure construction, the machinery industry has been booming. From January to August 2017, the sales volume of excavators was 91439, up 101.1 percent from the same period last year. Bulldozers sold 4065 units, up 39.21 percent from the same period last year. Loaders sold 64335 units, up 41.11 percent from the same period last year. Motor graders sold 3049 units, up 44.78 percent from the same period last year. Rollers sold 12562 units, up 51.51; sales of truck cranes were 13029, up 111 per cent year-on-year, crawler cranes were 845, up 32.4 per cent year-on-year, and truck-mounted cranes were 7495, up 46.4 per cent year-on-year. Before the end of the year, with the increasing pressure on environmental protection, the shutdown of construction sites may gradually increase, the demand for construction machinery may gradually weaken, and the sales of construction machinery products are expected to gradually decline.

To sum up, the demand for silver ten's steel market may be mixed, the real estate industry is cooling, infrastructure is still expected, the car is growing at a low speed, machinery is booming, silver ten's steel market may gradually weaken in the stumbling.

Period snail volume rose, in stock transactions turned good, pre-holiday market can be expected?

None

Period snail volume rose, in stock transactions turned good, pre-holiday market can be expected?

None

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What does environmental protection bring to the steel market?

2017-10-26

This year is the closing year of the "Ten Atmosphere". Since the beginning of the year, the Ministry of Environmental Protection has maintained an unprecedented high pressure on air pollution control in various places; however, in the first 7 months of this year, the concentration of PM2.5 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region increased year-on-year. 11.3%;PM10 concentration increased by 10% year-on-year, and there was huge pressure to meet the standards. With the acceptance date approaching, environmental protection measures continue to refine: 1, the central environmental supervision, high-level, local governments attach great importance. 2. Special supervision by the Ministry of Environmental Protection and the "2+26" special supervision of the atmosphere organized by the Ministry of Environmental Protection will last for one year from March 2017 to March 18. Inspectors from across the country

Listed steel companies in the third quarter earnings more than the first half of the steel price in the future or still large fluctuations

2017-10-26

On September 27, the research report of the iron and steel industry of Zhongtai Securities said that the single-quarter profit of most listed steel enterprises in the third quarter caught up with that in the first half of the year, of which the average gross profit per ton of steel from July to now is about 800 yuan, far exceeding that of 471 yuan in the first half of the year. The average gross profit of hot coil from July to now is about 740 yuan, about 400 yuan higher than that of the first half of the first half of the first half of the year. The most conservatively expected heating season production limits will be compressed by 8% to 9% of steel production, when the steel supply phase of the shortage can easily cause short-term steel prices large fluctuations.

Period snail volume rose, in stock transactions turned good, pre-holiday market can be expected?

2017-10-26

September 27, the national steel market prices rose slightly. The price of rebar in 10 cities, including Shanghai, Guangzhou, Beijing and Nanchang, rose by 10-30 yuan/ton, while that in Kunming and Xi'an fell by 10-30 yuan/ton. 4.75 hot-rolled coil market price volatility is strong. Prices in 15 markets, including Shanghai, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Wuhan, Beijing and Tianjin, Shenyang and Chongqing, rose by 20-80 yuan/ton. 20mm plate market price narrow consolidation. Prices in 11 markets, including Shanghai, Hangzhou, Hefei, Wuhan, Tianjin-Hebei and Chongqing, fell by 10-60 yuan; under the market prices in Guangzhou, Beijing, Xi'an and Wu'an

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